由 Vertical Integration 蛻變到 Virtual Integration 爲主導的企業新世代,終於來臨了!不僅是在個別的企業中發生,更是藉互聯網動力全球性地在業界中出現.... 正如早在上世紀八十年代末,美國麻省理工學院 (MIT) 教授 Tom Malone 所預言:互聯網將導致大企業分散重組--decentralize and externalize ,構成新的企業生態。
理由嗎?十分簡單:典型的二十世紀大企業的優勢,是整合經營,務求「肥水不流別人田」,把交易成本 (transaction costs) 減至最低。今天,透過環球分散式的資訊網絡聯繫,互聯網成了「工作平台」,複雜的工序在其上得以「拆細重組」,讓任何個別工作者都可以參與競爭,不單打破了地域的限制,更打開無限創新空間,使經營效益大大提高。就如 The World is Flat 一書的作者 Thomas Friedman 在這段短片所描述的。
但環顧全球跨國企業,廿多年來,上述的分拆重組不單並未出現,反倒在牛氣十足的股市催逼下不斷膨漲。直至2008年9月,隨著次按危機爆發,美國投資銀行開始接連倒閉或被逼轉型,各大企業相應收縮,國際社會才猛然警覺,這並非一場週期性的經濟調整,而是一次劃時代的全球政經運作模式徹底轉變....
危機過後,隨之而來的廿一世紀經濟,將會是個甚麼樣子?最新一期的權威 I T 科技雜誌 Wired Magazine, 刊登了四篇有關文章:
- The New New Economy: More Startups, Fewer Giants, Infinite Opportunity
- Beyond Detroit: On the Road to Recovery, Let the Little Guys Drive
- Secret of Googlenomics: Data-Fueled Recipe Brews Profitability
- The New Socialism: Global Collectivist Society Is Coming Online
- The next new economy, the one rising from the ashes of this latest meltdown, will favor the small!
- The rise of cloud computing means that young firms no longer have to buy their own IT equipment, which helps them avoid having to raise money or take on debt.
- Likewise, the webification of the supply chain in many industries, from electronics to apparel, means that even the tiniest companies can now order globally, just like the giants.
Environmental changes today are very rapid and complex--environmental dimensions (economic, social, political, technological, etc) make impacts on each other as they influence an society, then a sector/region/organization, and then an individual’s work and private life. A person cannot understand and monitor closely ALL these changes. What he/she can do is to make wise choices everyday—selective understanding, monitoring changes relevant to his/her work and responding to them in his/her career planning.
ReplyDelete